Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.000115 0.000127 0.000141 0.000156 0.000174 0.000192 0.000214
2025-11-16 0.000095 0.000112 0.000131 0.000154 0.000182 0.000213 0.000253
2025-11-23 0.000082 0.000101 0.000124 0.000153 0.000190 0.000235 0.000294
2025-11-30 0.000072 0.000093 0.000119 0.000154 0.000199 0.000258 0.000337
2025-12-07 0.000063 0.000085 0.000113 0.000152 0.000205 0.000276 0.000378
2025-12-14 0.000058 0.000080 0.000110 0.000154 0.000216 0.000301 0.000429
2025-12-21 0.000053 0.000076 0.000107 0.000155 0.000224 0.000324 0.000478
2025-12-28 0.000048 0.000071 0.000103 0.000154 0.000230 0.000342 0.000522
2026-01-04 0.000045 0.000068 0.000102 0.000156 0.000240 0.000368 0.000580
2026-01-11 0.000042 0.000065 0.000099 0.000156 0.000248 0.000390 0.000633
2026-01-18 0.000039 0.000061 0.000097 0.000156 0.000253 0.000410 0.000684
2026-01-25 0.000036 0.000058 0.000094 0.000155 0.000258 0.000427 0.000733
2026-02-01 0.000033 0.000056 0.000092 0.000155 0.000264 0.000450 0.000793
2026-02-08 0.000031 0.000053 0.000088 0.000153 0.000268 0.000467 0.000847
2026-02-15 0.000029 0.000050 0.000086 0.000152 0.000273 0.000488 0.000909
2026-02-22 0.000027 0.000048 0.000085 0.000153 0.000280 0.000513 0.000979
2026-03-01 0.000025 0.000046 0.000082 0.000151 0.000284 0.000530 0.001038
2026-03-08 0.000024 0.000045 0.000081 0.000153 0.000294 0.000562 0.001128
2026-03-15 0.000023 0.000043 0.000080 0.000154 0.000301 0.000589 0.001210
2026-03-22 0.000022 0.000041 0.000078 0.000153 0.000305 0.000609 0.001280
2026-03-29 0.000021 0.000040 0.000078 0.000155 0.000316 0.000644 0.001384
2026-04-05 0.000020 0.000039 0.000077 0.000156 0.000323 0.000671 0.001475
2026-04-12 0.000019 0.000038 0.000075 0.000155 0.000328 0.000695 0.001559